Macroeconomist Lyn Alden predicts that Bitcoin will end 2025 higher than its current price of approximately $85,000, but notes it could have been even higher without the impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcement in February. Alden suggests that a significant liquidity unlock could drive Bitcoin towards more optimistic price targets, akin to conditions before the tariffs were introduced. She highlights that traditional financial market volatility can induce further challenges due to Bitcoin's 24/7 trading nature. At present, she believes there’s a good chance Bitcoin could reclaim the $100,000 level by year-end, although market downturns may still pose risks. Alden also notes that potential economic parallels to the 2003-2007 period, when alternative investments thrived amidst a weaker US dollar, might provide a favorable backdrop for Bitcoin even if the US stock market underperforms. Her analysis frames Bitcoin as a barometer for global liquidity, suggesting its performance will depend largely on broader economic conditions and asset flows.

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