In a recent analysis of the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict, seven prominent AI models were employed to predict potential outcomes. Six out of the seven models foresee a prolonged shadow war characterized by airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles, while stopping short of a full-scale war. The consensus emphasizes mutual deterrence, U.S. restraint, and survival instincts as significant factors preventing escalation, although warnings about miscalculations and nuclear dangers remain. Google Gemini predicts a protracted escalation of 12-24 months, while Anthropic Claude foresees a sustained military campaign led by Iran's need to retaliate against Israeli strikes. OpenAI's ChatGPT uniquely forecasts a near-term diplomatic resolution, suggesting that quiet negotiations could be facilitated through Oman or Qatar. Other models like AI Grok and Manus also predict a controlled escalation and shadow war, emphasizing the historical avoidance of all-out conflict between the two nations. Overall, the analysis suggests a future filled with continued tensions rather than a straightforward military or diplomatic breakthrough.

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