Seven leading AI models were consulted to analyze the outcomes of the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict. The consensus among the models indicates that a prolonged shadow war featuring airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles is the most likely scenario, rather than full-scale war. Only ChatGPT diverged from this view, forecasting a near-term diplomatic resolution. Key factors preventing escalation include mutual deterrence and U.S. restraint, while risks such as miscalculations and proxy overreach persist. Google Gemini predicts a controlled escalation over 12-24 months, focusing on Israel's strategy of tactical strikes. Anthropic Claude emphasizes Iran's need to retaliate, reflecting a military campaign's probability at 50-60%. In contrast, Grok suggests limited conflict with periodic flare-ups over a shorter timeframe. Manus indicates a medium-high probability of continued targeted operations without major warfare, and DeepSeek warns of intensified covert conflict. Overall, while military actions may escalate, the models agree on the aversion to a full-scale war due to catastrophic consequences. The predicted timelines vary from immediate to up to two years of conflict, emphasizing the volatile dynamics at play.

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