Six out of seven leading AI models predict a prolonged conflict between Israel and Iran, largely consisting of airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles rather than full-scale war. Factors like mutual deterrence, U.S restraint, and survival instincts are cited as preventing escalation. The timeframes for continued conflict range from three to 24 months. While five models forecast ongoing warfare, OpenAI's ChatGPT stands out, predicting a near-term diplomatic resolution facilitated by negotiations possibly mediated by countries like Oman or Qatar. The models collectively highlight risks such as miscalculations, nuclear pressures, and proxy overreach, even as they agree on a shadow war governed by strategic prudence on both sides. Notable predictions from individual models include a sustained military campaign by Iran (Anthropic Claude) and controlled escalation in conflict (Google Gemini). Despite rising tensions and the potential for retaliatory strikes, rational calculations from both parties are viewed as mitigating factors against entering full-blown war.

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