The article explores predictions from seven leading AI models regarding the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, anticipating continued intermittent warfare rather than a full-scale war. Six of the models foresee a prolonged shadow war characterized by airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles over the next 12-24 months, driven by mutual deterrence, U.S. restraint, and survival instincts of both nations. Common forecasts suggest risks from miscalculation and nuclear pressures, but all agree that a catastrophic full-scale war is unlikely. Conversely, OpenAI's ChatGPT model projects a potential diplomatic resolution through quiet negotiations—citing Iran’s restraint in its retaliations and willingness to engage diplomatically. Predictions include multiple scenarios, highlighting Israel's strategy of tactical strikes and Iran’s ability to retaliate, posing risks of unintentional escalations due to the pressure of nuclear timelines and the involvement of proxy forces. The consensus indicates that while the conflict remains volatile, it is also manageable, with key factors keeping it beneath the threshold of outright warfare.

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