How Will the Israel-Iran Conflict End? Here's What AI Models Predict
Seven leading AI models were consulted to analyze the future of the Israel-Iran conflict. Six models forecast a prolonged shadow war characterized by airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles, with mutual deterrence and U.S. restraint preventing escalation toward full-scale war. Key warnings identified include the risks of miscalculation and nuclear pressures on both sides. Google Gemini predicts a protracted, controlled escalation lasting 12-24 months, emphasizing Israel's continued tactical strikes. Anthropic Claude suggests a sustained military campaign with a 50-60% probability due to Iran's need to retaliate and Israel's opportunity for decisive action. OpenAI's ChatGPT alone forecasts a positive diplomatic resolution, seeing potential for negotiated peace facilitated by Oman or Qatar. Other models, including DeepSeek and Grok, also emphasize a limited and shadowy conflict scenario without direct U.S. military involvement.
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