Six out of seven leading AI models predict that the current conflict between Israel and Iran will yield a continued shadow war characterized by airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles, stopping short of full-scale war. They emphasize factors like mutual deterrence, U.S. restraint, and survival instincts that prevent escalation, although risks from miscalculation, nuclear pressure, and proxy overreach remain. Only ChatGPT predicts a near-term diplomatic resolution, suggesting that negotiations might be mediated through Oman or Qatar, potentially leading to an updated nuclear deal. The models highlight historical patterns of confrontation, with predictions of sustained, low-intensity conflict persisting over the coming months. Overall, while tensions are projected to escalate, clear pathways to a broader, destructive conflict are perceived as unlikely due to the strategic calculations at play.

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