In a recent analysis involving seven leading AI models, there is a consensus that the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is likely to culminate in a prolonged shadow war. Six out of the seven models predict a series of airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles but stop short of full-scale war. Factors such as mutual deterrence, U.S. restraint, and inherent survival instincts are expected to govern this conflict and prevent escalation. However, warnings of risks due to miscalculation, nuclear pressure, and proxy instability remain prominent. Only OpenAI's ChatGPT forecasts a potential diplomatic resolution, suggesting that Iran may engage in quiet negotiations and possibly update its nuclear deal. The timeline for sustained conflict is anticipated to stretch anywhere from three to twenty-four months, characterized by a cycle of escalatory military actions without crossing into full warfare. Specific insights from models include the historical precedent of limited conflict maintaining stability, and the critical nature of Iran's shortened breakout time concerning nuclear capabilities, which may influence both sides' strategies in the near future.

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