How Will the Israel-Iran Conflict End? Here's What AI Models Predict
Recent analyses from seven prominent AI models suggest that the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is likely to turn into a prolonged shadow war characterized by airstrikes, cyberattacks, and proxy battles instead of escalating into full-scale war. Key factors such as mutual deterrence, U.S. restraint, and survival instincts are anticipated to prevent direct confrontation. However, the models caution about risks from miscalculations and nuclear threats. Notably, all models except for ChatGPT predict continued conflict, with timelines for skirmishes ranging from three to 24 months. ChatGPT provides a more optimistic view, suggesting a near-term diplomatic resolution through quiet negotiations and a potential renewed nuclear deal. Other models like Google Gemini and Anthropic Claude foresee sustained military campaigns, with risks of escalation discussed as the primary concern. This analysis showcases the complexities of the geopolitical landscape and the potential for varying outcomes amid rising tensions.
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