Bitfinex Bitcoin longs hit 6-month high — Will BTC price follow?
Leverage long Bitcoin positions at Bitfinex reached a six-month high of 80,333 BTC, equivalent to $6.92 billion, following a 27.5% rise in Bitcoin since February 20. Despite this increase, a correlation between rising leveraged positions and Bitcoin's price isn't guaranteed, as historical data shows previous upticks in margin longs were met with price declines. While savvy margin traders have historically been profitable, their increased exposure does not imply a certain price escalation for Bitcoin. The current borrowing cost for Bitcoin on Bitfinex is low, encouraging arbitrage strategies amidst a subdued demand for margin longs on other exchanges, particularly OKX. The long-to-short margin ratio on OKX suggests a weakened bullish sentiment, indicating a cautious market environment. The Bitcoin options market reflects a neutral sentiment, with traders balancing risks of both upward and downward price movements. Contributing to the lack of bullish momentum are inflation concerns and economic forecasts, which have made investors more risk-averse, overshadowing the increased leverage from traders. Overall, although some investors are increasing their exposure, the consensus expectation for a Bitcoin price rally remains uncertain.
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