Bitcoin historically rallies significantly when low leverage coincides with stronger-than-expected retail sales and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Three notable periods where these conditions aligned resulted in price increases of 50% to 84%. For instance, in early 2024, Bitcoin soared from $40,000 to $73,500 in just seven weeks. Likewise, in early 2023, it surged from $16,700 to $25,100, and in July 2021, it climbed 76% after market conditions shifted positively. Internal dynamics such as low leverage demand and positive economic indicators, alongside Fed Chair Powell's comments indicating a tightening monetary policy, directly impacted these outcomes. Upcoming Fed speeches and retail sales figures will be crucial in determining Bitcoin's future price movements.

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